Database
 

Thresholds Database > Predator regulation of prey, Australia

Certainty of shift: Demonstrated
Location: Australia, New South Wales, Yathong Nature reserve
System Type: Ecological
Regime Shift Category: 3a
Ecosystem Type
Forest/Woodland
Spatial Scale
Landscape/Local
Type of Resource Use
Conservation
Number of Possible Regimes
2
Ecosystem Service
Time Scale of Change
Unknown
Resource Users
Public use 
Reversibility of Shift
Reversible with hysteresis

Background

A predator removal experiment was conducted in semi-arid grassland and woodland to find the boundary between regulation and non-regulation by predators. Predators were culled (112cats and 288 foxes) from an experimental area of 70km2 and compared with another block with little predator removal. Following the cull, predators were allowed to reinvade the experimental blocks. Rabbit numbers were monitored over a five month period by counting active burrow entrances.



In the treated area (predators removed), rabbits increased to higher densities than in the untreated area. When predators were allowed back into the treated areas, rabbit populations continued to increase and did not decline to the density in the untreated area.

Alternate Regimes

1. High rabbit densities (rabbits escape predator regulation)

2. Low rabbit densities regulated by predators

Fast or Dependent Variable(s)
Density of prey (rabbits)
Slow or Independent Variable(s)
Density of predators (cats and foxes)
Disturbance or Threshold Trigger(s)
Control of predator numbers
External / Internal Trigger
External

Mechanism

The control of predators allowed the density of prey to increase beyond the upper limit for predator regulation of about 15 rabbits km-1. Following predator removal, prey densities increased and stayed at > 15 rabbits km-1 for the term of the experiment, even once the predators were allowed back into the area. High rabbit numbers (State 1), with no predator regulation could occur if rabbits experienced exceptionally good breeding conditions or if predators are controlled below the predator regulation point. Low rabbit numbers (State 2) with predator regulation could occur if drought or myxomatosis caused rabbit numbers to fall below the predator regulation point.

Management Decisions in Each Regime

Contact
Jacqui Meyers

Email
jacqui.meyers@csiro.au

CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems,
PO Box 284,
Canberra ACT 2601

Keywords
empirical data, predator-prey, foxes, Australia, semi-arid, rabbits, feral cats, population models, population density, density-dependent, experiment, drought, empirical data

References

Pech, R. P., A. R. E. Sinclair, A. E. Newsome, and P. C. Catling. 1992. Limits to predator regulation of rabbits in Australia - evidence from predator-removal experiments. Oecologia 89, no. 1: 102-12. (E)